Weather Warning for Andhra Pradesh on 8th May 2020

Weather Forecast for Andhra Pradesh on 8th May 2020

Thundershowers possible in some areas of Srikakulam and Viziangaram districts while Hot Weather conditions will prevail in Rayalaseema

kerala rains

Weak South-West Monsoon making the South-Indian landmass dry up-

South-West Monsoon, which has been a prime weather pattern all over the India for rainfall has drastically reduce due to lack of Moisture influx and a proper mechanism to drive the monsoon. Kerala, which gets the major part of the monsoon of india, has dried up drastically due to poor rains in july and August. The rainfall reduced due to lack of low pressure systems originating from low latitudes and this made the major deficit of rainfall across south india.
There was a very deficit rainfall along the places of west coast and Gujarath, which majorly seeks the monsoonal rainfall anually.

Rain Pounds Tirupathi on 29th july 2016-
                          

The offshore trough-
                          
A trough which results in along the west coast due to the Thermal low along the Rajasthan is called an offshore trough. It lies around 25-50kms from coast and during night times, it settles inland and cause intense rainfall along the ghats of the south indian landmass. Western ghats crucial rainfall is based on the off-shore trough over the region. The off shore trough dips the westerly wind component and results in the formation of convergence along its periphery. 

                             
The area of convergence lies to the westerly portion of the trough and the area of divergence lies to the easterly portion of the trough if the wind comes along westerly. This pattern is seen along the off shore trough. The offshore trough will cause heating of land during the day and the relatively clouging effect along the coast during night.

Kerala Rains missing for long??

The kerala rains depends on the Mid-level systems arising in Bay of Bengal. If we see the systems, The periphery of the system lies such that the southern part dips the westerly winds to a maximum extent. Hence we see more rains along kerala.
The systems should form close to andhra coast and Mid-central Bay of bengal for better impact.

The Tropical season So far:


Inter-tropical convergence zone is a place of Converging thunderstorms and many of the Systems develop close to the zone. Its is also the zone where the sun shines with a large intensity. Till now we are having a Below-Normal Monsoon. The reason may be due to the Movement of  Intense systems along the monsoon axis and causing Torrential rainfall along Central india and South most parts of Gangetic plains in India. The periphery of the storm resulted in the Dominant North-West winds along the System and caused a bulk of Dry air to flow towards the rest of region. The South China sea systems made an entry into the Bay of Bengal. Under Low Shear, The systems developed a lot and then attacked the Coast of West Bengal and Odisha.

By referring the above map, we can see the entire rainfall probabilities were concentrated along central india.

"Monsoon might gain power along the west Coast in the coming days"--by us