North East Monsoon Forecasts-
North-east Monsoon is the crucial Monsoon for South-Peninsular India. Mainly, the places of South Andhra Pradesh and Tamil Nadu gets about 40-60% of their annual rainfall from North-east Monsoon. First the season start with interiors getting good rains around Afternoon, Evening, Early part of Night. During the transition period, the Mild westerlies prevail and the Moisture available over the interior Peninsula will be good with a good amounts of Vorticity and CAPE (Convective Available Potential Energy), it will help in Thunderstorm formation.
Terms-
Vorticity-Raising mass of air and it will lead to Convergence.
CAPE-It tells us the amount of energy present in the atmosphere which helps in cloud formation. Its measured in Joules/kg.
OUR NEM FORECASTS-
ENSO-
BAY OF BENGAL SST'S-
The prevailing conditions Show a Normal Monsoon with less consistent flood alert and it will be a Normal Monsoon 2016. There will be 2-3 disturbances to South Andhra coast this year but The North-east Monsoon will be good in Heavy weights from Sirikazhi-Vedaranyam stretch.
